@Hopeful9
I am still seeing strong shipping stem, the canola from NSW is starting to ease back a little, and more wheat appearing on the stem.
Once the canola is completed, there will obviously be more room for on site wheat storage.
As a rule of thumb, and traditionally, the period Jan to April accounts for 50% of annual total of exports. However with the later harvest, and also the large amount of carry over, instead of seeing a falling off of exports from around june onwards, there is every likelihood that it will continue to be strong right through the winter months.
With the groundwater at very good levels 2023 /24 is already likely to be over average, so this season's exports will inevitably run into next season, so to answer your question, i can foresee the next 18 months - at a minimum, to be very strong indeed.
Abares snippet from earlier this month
Wheat production is forecast to reach a new record of 36.6 million tonnes, a 1% increase over the previous record set last year. Barley production is forecast to reach 13.4 million tonnes, the fourth largest on record. Canola production is forecast to also reach a new record at 7.3 million tonnes, a 4% improvement over the previous record set last year.
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