GNC 0.12% $8.66 graincorp limited

A few highlights from Macquarie's latest research report: -...

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    A few highlights from Macquarie's latest research report:

    - Seasonal outlook improved with recent rain; 2024 growing year settingup well.

    - Valuation remains undemanding, in our view; GNC trading at discountto peers, its historical avgs and to our asset replacement cost est.

    - The 2023/24 east coast winter harvest looks to have surpassed marketand our expectations with GNC interim receivals of 7.9mmt (vs ourprior fct of ~7.5mmt). Better-than-expected harvest is a boost to GNC'sStorage & Logistics biz and magnified by the ~25% increase in receivalfees. Offsetting this is GNC's introduction of a free storage period of ~6months (we est ~$20m rev impact).

    - Outlook for planting/growing season has improved markedly overpast 3 months with timely rainfall in Nov-Jan, improvement in soilmoisture (Fig 16) and as fears of a dry summer go unfounded. We expectuplift to FY24 summer crop output vs FY23

    - B/S rock solid; we fct core net cash of $340m in FY24 and FCF of $64mgiving GNC ample capacity for organic growth, e.g., crush expansion, M&Aand announced up-to $50m buyback

    - Valuation: TP of $9.70 unchanged using avg of asset replacement cost &through-the-cycle earnings. Our asset replacement cost analysis suggestslarge gap between share px & intrinsic value providing valn support.
 
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$8.66
Change
-0.010(0.12%)
Mkt cap ! $1.942B
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$8.55 $8.67 $8.47 $4.747M 551.4K

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No. Vol. Price($)
1 2047 $8.65
 

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Price($) Vol. No.
$8.67 3965 1
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Last trade - 16.10pm 06/08/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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