RDF 0.00% 95.8¢ redflex holdings limited

going places, page-7

  1. 2,038 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 147
    Stoss, good question! I'll try to justify the figures. My calcs for 05-06 go like this:

    Growth in current systems, as in past two years: $6.0m
    Comms contribution, assuming $15m revenue from current 3-year $46m contract, and 20% profit: $3.0m
    Speed systems (guess): $2.0m
    Current year: $9.3m

    Total pretax: $20.3m, or 24c/share

    Assume tax at 30% = 16.7c/share, giving a PE (at current price) of 18

    Similar argument gives PE of 12 for one year further out.

    This is obviously simplistic, and nowhere near the precision that Paul100 can give us, but I think the assumptions are on the conservative side.

    If there are any blatant holes, I'd love to hear about them!

 
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