David you say "There seems to be some market sentiment that there will be a 40% chance the US will go back into recession. "
But if memory serves me in the last recession gold plummeted to the $700s. Not sure why it wont be the same again this time. What will send gold to the moon is raging inflation usually found in a roaring economic boom.
Not sure a recession is going to serve your interests with regard to gold.
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