re: gold, what price war premium? gold in china By Lee Chyen Yee...

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    re: gold, what price war premium? gold in china By Lee Chyen Yee
    SHANGHAI, Jan 28 (Reuters) - China's central bank, seen
    intervening recently in Shanghai's gold exchange to curb sky-high
    prices, is expected to allow trade to return to normal after the
    Lunar New Year holiday next month, traders said on Tuesday.
    Domestic gold prices rose to such dizzying heights that the
    central People's Bank of China sold some of its precious metal to
    cool prices which had risen above world levels due to a demand
    spike before the important annual holiday, they said.
    But demand for gold should slacken after the February 1-7
    holiday and prices would stabilise, traders said.
    The central bank attempted to rein in prices to help domestic
    gold processors curb rising production costs and prevent firms
    from importing gold illegally to cash in on spreads between
    domestic and global prices, they said.
    "The central bank is unlikely to intervene if everything goes
    back to normal after the New Year," said a floor trader. "The
    government will still want to let the market determine prices."
    The central bank sold nearly 600 kg of gold just before the
    market closed last Wednesday, pushing prices down by more than
    one yuan to around 96 yuan ($11.6) per gramme, although prices
    and volumes still closed at record highs.
    "The central bank intervened several times in the past few
    weeks because prices went too high," said a second floor trader.

    PRICES SURGE
    Domestic gold prices have hit new highs repeatedly over the
    past week, surpassing world prices and hitting six-year highs
    this week at $372.60 an ounce as worries of a possible war in
    Iraq intensified.
    But Shanghai's gold prices have eased, with prices of 99.95
    percent gold falling to 97.20 yuan per gramme on Tuesday, down
    from a record 98.26 yuan on Monday as domestic demand began to
    taper off.
    Shanghai's average price on Tuesday was equivalent to
    $365.20, lower than global spot prices of $368.00/8.50 in
    Asian trade as many processors had already bought enough gold to
    produce ornaments and jewellery for the New Year season.
    Some traders said the central bank used gold from its
    reserves to intervene. At the end of 2002, China's gold reserves
    were 19.29 million ounces (546.9 million grammes), up from 16.08
    million ounces at the end of November.
    "The central bank has the right to intervene," an exchange
    official said, declining further comment.
    Traders said the central bank, the sole intermediary between
    gold buyers and sellers until the exchange opened in October, has
    maintained some control in hopes of keeping end-products
    affordable for consumers by controlling raw material prices.
    "If domestic prices rise way above global markets, the
    government is afraid that some companies might import illegally
    and refine it to standard gold to sell domestically," the second
    trader said.
    Gold smuggling is common in the country, especially in the
    south, as China's annual gold demand of 250-300 tonnes (8.8-10.6
    million ounces) well exceeds the estimated 190 tonnes it was
    expected to produce last year, officials said last year.
 
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