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Even braver call!

Probability of a Remain win? 'Zero'

The experts at the University of East Anglia have just posted another update to their forecasts.
Chris Hanretty, reader in politics, writes on his blog:
My predictions continue to be much more pessimistic for Remain than the betting markets, though they seem to be in between estimates from Michael Thrasher and JP Morgan.

• Predicted probability of Britain Remaining: 0
• (81 of 382 areas reporting.)
• Predicted vote share for Remain: 47.1 percent.
• (90% prediction interval: 46.1 to 48.1 percent)