The experts at the University of East Anglia have just posted another update to their forecasts.
Chris Hanretty, reader in politics, writes on his blog:
My predictions continue to be much more pessimistic for Remain than the betting markets, though they seem to be in between estimates from Michael Thrasher and JP Morgan.
Predicted probability of Britain Remaining: 0
(81 of 382 areas reporting.)
Predicted vote share for Remain: 47.1 percent.
(90% prediction interval: 46.1 to 48.1 percent)
BDR Price at posting:
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