it's definitely in the too hard basket Impossible to call at the moment.
Also we don't know how much further POG is about to fall, so we can't really establish that low point on the fork you're using.
but if I had to go out on a limb and make a guess within those parameters keeping it close to what you've suggested, I'd take a stab in the dark and say breakout in June at $1,250 area.
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