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12/12/15
02:01
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Originally posted by AverageJoe
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I hate to disappoint you but a hard landing is already baked into the crude prices. Add every resource sector collapsing and you can see gold is not a destiny of fear protection. It is behaving like a commodity no different to IO for example. Now I am coming around to this idea that too much supply and lacking demand is the reason gold is falling. A strong USD a weaker gold.
If you want to get long term exposure in gold stocks then pick one that can survive a major down turn in gold form here. Survival means no dilutive cap raising and no care n maintenance. No large debt to threaten sustainable debt payments etc. Other than these key checklist, the market is an efficient measure of the risk of a company ie. Trend.
Thinking market collapse to trigger gold rally is a long shot with no basis beside fear. Gold is money is another misleading sentiment. Why would you buy physical that pays no dividend with mounting holding cost? That is like buying bonds with negative yields. All to do with fear.
The world is getting harder for yield chaser. Maybe expectations have to tone down. Invest safely.
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Thanks A.J. I know there's NO short/mid/long term trend for gold. I also know Gold is suitable in volatile and ill logical markets. Things are exactly happening on my way as I always look for a negative sign of USD. I have no fear at the moment and I would like to bet my knowledge through learning about the market to see whether I am right or wrong. If I'm wrong I'll keep learning. That's all good to me.