I am responding your reply to our resident know all Skol.Your...

I am responding your reply to our resident know all Skol.
Your reply:
"The gold price correlates with the inverse of the real interest rate DH."
My response: Agree, he is also telling us that the US Economy is deflating by 0.7%

Special Consideration

It’s feasible for real interest rates to be in negative territory if the inflation rate exceeds the nominal rate of an investment. For example, a bond with a 3% nominal rate will have a real interest rate of -1%, if the inflation rate is 4%. A comparison of real and nominal interest rates can be calculated using this equation:


RR=Nominal Interest Rate − Inflation Ratewhere:RR = Real Rate of Return



RR=Nominal Interest Rate − Inflation Ratewhere:RR = Real Rate of Return
Inflation Rate =Nominal Interest Rate - RR
Inflation Rate = 3% - (-1% ) = 3% + 1% = 4%\begin{aligned} &\text{RR}=\text{Nominal Interest Rate }-\text{ Inflation Rate}\\ &\textbf{where:}\\ &\text{RR = Real Rate of Return}\\ \end{aligned}RR=Nominal Interest Rate − Inflation Rate

Say 10 year bond yield = 1.6%
According to Skol 's bar chart Real Rates are 2.3%
Inflation Rate% = 1.6% -2.3% = -0.7%
RR = 1.6% - (- 0.7%) = 1.6% +0.7% = 2.3%

Inflation Rate = 3% - (-1% ) = 3% + 1% = 4%