that' would take a whole lot of very unlikely stuff to happen.. But I get the pt you make. the market / pride action the strangest of beasts so who the f knows. those headwinds you mention are already priced in to some degree and so is the end of this conflict.. Kinda betting how long conflict will drag out... Or if other conflicts will happen soon etc.. As always it's trying to predict the future so any deviance from what's expected by most could be enough to push it 1 way or another..
I'd argue more chance of unexpected stuff happening that helps gold price than the opposite
