So 2 months later and this looks even more likely.
Israel have an air corridor to strike uranium enrichment facilities in eastern Iran, thanks to the removal of Assad. Happily for them the US has already given them MOABs to achieve this. They will need to take out Iran’s missile defence as well which Russia have supplied with S300s and S400s.
Before that though the US will probably finish off Iran’s remaining proxy, the Houthi’s. This could be within weeks. With apparently 7 of the fleet of 19 B2’s now at Diego Garcia it’s looking highly likely to kick off very soon.
Oil prices likely to go higher when Iran blockades the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation. Not really an issue for the US since they can probably self supply. Europe will be in trouble. So will China who get a lot of energy from Iran which IMO is why they have so many coal fired plants and EVs now. They saw this coming and changed their energy dynamics.
There is a potential for regime change in Iran on the back of all this, as a ground invasion is virtually impossible due to size, terrain and the deep underground facilities. Rumour is the ex Shah’s grandson who lives in DC is being groomed for a triumphant return. The IRGC and pro Ayatollah militia will fight this so could be major unrest in Iran for quite some time.
All the above will feed into sustained high gold and silver prices as the only real safe haven for protection of assets.
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