GOLD (COMEX) gold

Originally posted by gougoodthing: ↑

Traders Puzzled After Gold Surges To 10 Month Highs

by Tyler Durden
Tue, 02/19/2019 - 13:49
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With both the dollar and yen sliding, most notably after the BOJ's Kuroda told parliament the Japanese central bank can and will ease far more if necessary, it is perhaps not surprising that gold has surged $14 higher today, rising above $1,341/ounce, up over $140 from the early November levels when it was trading in the low-$1,200s, and the highest price since April 2018.

Yet what has left traders puzzled is that despite gold's surge, it is not trading as a traditional safe haven, because after correlating inversely with the S&P for much of 2018, the correlation flipped to positive in late-December, right around the time the Fed also flipped from hawkish to dovish, meaning that gold has instead regained its status as a hedge against central bank idiocy. Curiously, gold's correlation with the S&P has even surpassed that of other safe havens such as the dollar, TSYs or yen.

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Or maybe gold is simply trading as a plain vanilla commodity: after all, it is not only the S&P that soared starting in December, so did WTI, which rebounded from a multi-year low in the low-$40s to a year to date high of $55+ today. Base metals have had an even more amazing recent track record: take Palladium, which has soared by more than 50% since August, surpassing the price of gold in nominal terms, and hitting a new all time high today amid reports of shortages as the market continues to drift away from diesel-powered vehicles.

Which way gold moves after that will likely depend on just how more "activist" central banks become over the next month (or how much gold central banks themselves decide to buy). Considering the accelerated race to the FX bottom in recent weeks, it is safe to say that gold may be printing new multi-year highs as soon as one month from now.

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Key quote in this article
" gold has instead regained its status as a hedge against central bank idiocy..."
Precisely why many on this forum hold physical and or PM stocks or both. That might help you AJ and others on this forum who constantly claim to not understand "goldbugs". Supporters of gold on this forum I'm sure hold also stocks, cash, property in their portfolios but try to educate the doubters that gold is an essential counterbalance in any portfolio - whatever the level of holding.
Aussie gold stocks are a standout currently.

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