You guess? I've got a lot of followers, a lot more than you. What does that say?
If you've been on the gold forum for a while, you can't help but notice the following conspiracy theories have amounted to nothing
A Dow crash The banks will collapse WW3 imminent The EU's going to collapse The USA's going bankrupt A USD crash 'any day'. Fiat money becoming worthless Gold going to US$10,000/US$20,000/ $US$174,000 Russia and China will rule the world Fort Knox is empty Russia and China have 'secret stax' that no one else knows about (except goldbugs)
Ad infinitum...
The gold forum's the handiest source of contrarian bets. Do the opposite and you'll get rich.