Goldman Sachs report

Released last night. TP $3.23 (31% premium to last close)

We are Buy-rated (on CL) on CQE.AX as we believe the current pricing provides an attractive investment opportunity. On GS estimates, the market is pricing in a 14% devaluation of CQE’s portfolio or an implied cap rate of 7.2% (vs. 6.2% book), which we see as overly bearish given continued government funding, exposure to high-quality operators with limited exposure to Victoria, as well as CQE’s solid balance sheet position and improving outlook. Our A$3.23 (was A$3.16), 12-month price target is based on a 42.5%/42.5%/15% blend of our SOTP (A$2.56, was A$2.68), DCF (A$3.80, was A$3.51) and M&A (A$3.50, was A$3.49) valuations, and implies 37% total return vs. our A-REIT coverage average of 17%.