The big worry imo of course is how many players out there are now in it for immediate / ST gains. We're told time and time again it's a long game, but the makeup of participants has changed pretty dramatically (a lot more investors). I'm going to have a punt and say recent investors are now increasingly more 'time sensitive' when it comes to expected returns... evidenced by interest only loan stats:
http://www.smh.com.au/business/bank...-interestonly-home-loans-20150819-gj39fj.html
I find some of the figures in that pretty staggering.
Another relevant risk imo is that a decent portion of the market suddenly becomes 'price insensitive' (just get rid of it.. common behaviour in a glut or confidence shock) as well. Hard to know just how much supply will outstrip demand (if at all) but it is still a risk.
I'm not sure how happy some investors (with shorter TFs in mind) will be if growth is less than expected. They might be acutely less tolerant, and there may be a lot of them...
- Forums
- Property
- Goldman
The big worry imo of course is how many players out there are...
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 9 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)