Look at the last time people thought the company was gone, the pre-poseidon sale days. People thought it was all over, no money to develop, no money for drilling etc. Then out of the left field it gets $650m from origin, and the share price race up.
KW was 35% CoS, Echidna is 43% CoS. Statistically speaking:
2 discovery 15%
1 duster 1 discovery 48%
2 dusters 37%
So 63% chance of finding something (before the campaign starting). Or can be thought of 43% finding something at the present moment. Not bad odds overall, just play the game and don't overdose on hopium.
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