When you say "China..can move pricing, regardless of the S/D balance", there must be some logic behind this statement. Given that China is the primary driver of demand owing to downstream participants how are they able to move the price down given they are the primary downstream consumers as mentioned previously? EVs sales, battery/Gwhrs requirements are all up..sorry to labour the pt, but if you accept that they need more upstream material how are they able to demand more but get it for less?
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