PLS 0.62% $3.20 pilbara minerals limited

It seems to me that everybody is panicking: lets just consider...

  1. 354 Posts.
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    It seems to me that everybody is panicking: lets just consider the fundamentals for a moment.
    Oversupply: I don't think so, my view, Chinese, running down expensive stockpiles of Li.
    Price falling so no need to re-stock yet, cheaper next week/month.
    Weak Demand for EVs: to a point, higher interest rates and withdrawal of subsidies in some markets, taking the gloss-off sales.
    Weak Li Price: Endangers many would be miners & explorers, projects postponed cancelled.
    Future Supply Side: Constricted a few years out.
    Result: Higher Spod. prices.

    In considering the implications for PLS: None.
    Strong Balance sheet.
    $3B cash, that should be generating around $150m. in interest.
    That will keep the costs down.
    MC $10.645B.
    $3.339B cash (From Padley's Stock Box)
    PE 4.7
    Profit margin 59%
    To take this to absurdity:
    The SP cannot collapse much further as next year cash could be closer to (say) $5B
    You can buy the company with its own money.
    I've said it before, with 20% short this is very dangerous territory.
    Private Equity, Hedge Funds, etc. are running the numbers, that's massive up-side short covering pressure.

 
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