PLS 2.72% $3.02 pilbara minerals limited

Hi All,This little matrix shows us what PLS is worth depending...

  1. 80 Posts.
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    Hi All,

    This little matrix shows us what PLS is worth depending its two driving forces in (1) SC6% price, and (2) SC production tons per annum.
    • Note: Some toggles/assumptions are in the lower rows (bolded are those most important)

    Current production and SC6% prices has PLS SP estimated @ $2.50 - $3.14 (E2:F2) - but this is the SP with no changes from where we are now...

    Production in 6-12 months time at a 680,000dmt/pa run rate, at current SC6% prices, has PLS SP @ $4.67 - $5.89 (E10:F10)
    • Note: this is without POSCO JV numbers baked in, and a low Enterprise Value (Market Cap) / EBITDA ratio of 8/1..... typically I'd have this at a 10/1 or 15/1.


    Conservative Valuation Matrix (based off 8/1 EBITDA ratio and JV revenue not included)
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4290/4290098-7cd6134aad2dfdcd8a20a27a2a7fc49a.jpg


    At the end of the day when all of the below is true, we should be fairly valued between $9.00 - $15.00 at very least (E17:G17):
    • Enterprise Value (Market Cap) / EBITDA ratio of 10/1
    • SC6% price = $3000/dmt
    • PLS production = 1,000,000dmt/pa (or more)
    • PLS & POSCO JV Operational @ 43kt/pa (only baked in 18% interest, PLS will take up 30% without hesitation)

    Realistic Valuation Matrix (based off 10/1 EBITDA ratio and JV revenue included @18% interest)
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4290/4290101-78f5e21ad72203735c36ace7e478d777.jpg

    Hold tight, there is no denying the value coming to shareholders in the next 6 months, let alone the next few years.

    Cheers - Woly
 
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