GPG guinness peat group plc.

This is in NZD but the story is the same no matter what currency...

  1. 19 Posts.
    This is in NZD but the story is the same no matter what currency you use.

    I am a fan of GPG as an asset play. Sure they have pension liability concerns and a stock price that keeps on declining, but the cash on the books more than compensates an investor when purchasing.

    Currently there is +$900m (NZD) in cash on their books. Now let’s take a conservative estimate of the potential payment they might make due to their pension liabilities and say this is going to be $500m (NZD), thus leaving them with $400M (NZD) or $0.28 per share (NZD). If we subtract this from the current price of $0.45 (NZD) this means one gets to buy the underlying business, Coats, for only $0.17 (NZD) per share. Meaning one is buying a business at only 4x the cashflow generated from operations in the 14FY.

    To me this seems like a no brainer. The stock is currently depressed because of limited ability to estimate when this pension issue is going to be done and dusted. However, as a result investors are missing out on a bargain for a company that has been operating for many years and has customers such as Gap, Levi Strauss jeans, Adidas, Marks and Spencer, Nike and Abercrombie & Fitch. I do not have a great deal of confidence in the current board setup or executive team, but Coasts seems like a business an idiot could run.
 
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