This year or early next IMHO we will get hammered and then 10 to 14 years to recover
There is not one single factor that looks normal, they are already in the toilet
Something you have to take into account is that with our present bunch of clowns they are not doing one single thing to stop the rot, but instead making everything worse
As to government figures, they are on a par with what we have always known about Chinese reports --- all fairyland stuff