I have watched the webinar again and have given some more thought to possible growth
- In Sept Qtr NGS did $US 760K in cash receipts AUD $1.21
- Steve indicated same is a expected/historically quiet qtr but achieved 2% uplift
So making a few assumptions/crystal balling - what might this Qtr look like - here are some thoughts (please feel free to critique - the more the better)
- NGS grow cash receipts by say a conservative 5% on current footprint from $760K to say $800K USD
- IHerb on boarded at start of Qtr - initial order of $10K already up to circa $30K - assume by end of Qtr that figure sits at say $40K USD
- New Walmart rollout completed end Sept so will operate for the full current Qtr
- 850 new stores
- Say they hit average of 1.25 units per store per week
- 1.25 * 850 = 1062 units per week by 12 weeks = 12,750 units
- Assume 12,000 units - shelf price is $22 USD so total sales would be circa $265K USD
- Not sure what our unit sale price is to Walmart but assume circa 50% - say $130K USD
So $800 + $40 + $130K = $970K USD which would be circa $1,540,000 AUD or annualised circa $6.15 million if repeated over a full year with no further growth or product lines being rolled out
Possibly I am smoking the whacky weed and drinking the cool aid but as I see it
- NGS in the next 6-10 weeks likely to be cash flow neutral or positive
- Second Walmart product now in shop/selling and when combined with moderate growth in existing footprint - NGS will by default lift sales compared to last qtr
- Steve confirmed targeting door expansion and other product lines in store over next 12 months (Iherb/CVS/Walmart/Amazon/Other) - so growth in doors/product lines will by default see further growth in sales
- Using logic above NGS might possibly report sales at end of this quarter circa $1.5 million AUD - annualised ciurca $6 million AUD
- Sits to a market cap of $2.7 million
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