GRR 8.33% 27.5¢ grange resources limited.

GRR Valuation, page-6

  1. 217 Posts.
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    Link to Q1 report is here. https://grange.blob.core.windows.net/public/32bc2e9c-c824-493a-817d-066f9a6038ad.pdf

    At end Q1 Grange had:
    • Cash and liquid investments of $258.6m
    • Trade receivables of $73.4m
    • 179,632t pellet stockpile. At 18 June pellet price of $424/t that is worth $76.2 million.
    • 22,577 concentrate stockpile. At 18 June concentrate price of $371/t that is worth A$8.4 million.

    Total cash and liquid, trade receivables and inventory as at Q1 was $416.6 million.

    For Q2, miningnut estimated $254m in Sales. Cost of sales will be approximately $70m and I assume tax is around 30% leaving NPAT for Q2 around $129m but they are consistently reinvesting in Capex so I would assume net cashflow closer to $110m.

    I would therefore estimate total cash and liquid, trade receivables and inventory as at June 30 will be around $526 million. If the share price doesn't move I think the EV of GRR will be zero around end of August. We are not quite there yet but very close.
 
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