ARI 0.00% 2.2¢ a.c.n. 004 410 833 limited

GSO deal, page-6

  1. 2,444 Posts.
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    Moody

    I agree existing shareholders will not be able to put up the $ 364 m in new equity.
    But I think new institutions may as ARI will,look much better with $ 1b less debt.
    With IOP improving and reforms and assistance in Steel I think a 2016 EBITDA of $ 300 m is possible
    This will put a potential market cap of $ 1 b which is a hell of a lot more than it is now

    As regards the timing of the issue. If they do it immediately at say 2 cents , they will have to issue 18 b new shares which would not be a good look ( though easily fixed with a consolidation as Bluescope did )

    I hope they wait and let the SP recover
 
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