Half year forecast, page-8

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slc4me

4,306 Posts.

04/01/16

21:26

Post #: 16726134
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Originally posted by cafa ↑

Well done SLC4me.

As WG said 'SRX has possibly the best, most educated, well reasoned following.', and your post is a great example of this. No one has to agree with the data, but at least we tend to put out reasoned discussion!

The number look about right to me. I would probably go with 25% for the US, and somewhat more than your number for AsiaPac.

Exchange rate. Consider that the numbers in last years report show the impact on last years profits. So the % increase should be applied to this years expected sales / profit in the US or Euro. I think this gives an additional $1m or so on the bottom line.

I have a 2% increase in gross profit penciled in, as the big trials have finished recruitment and the economies of scale should be adding a little something.

So, here are my numbers, just for fun ;-

Dose sales > 6060
$ sales > $115m
EPS > 52c
SP (if the above is about on the mark) ~$43/45.

But you know I'm always a little optimistic when it comes to SRX

Expand

CAFA - I hope you are right, It would be good to get the dose sales over the 6000 mark. Dont apologise for being aggressive - I dont think your numbers are unreasonable. Have a look at my post on TRS a couple of days ago and you will see what aggressive is!!!! (I am anticipating a 40% share price in the next 6 to 8 weeks).

Cheers

SRX Price at posting: $40.77 Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
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Half year forecast, page-8

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