SSN 0.00% 1.5¢ samson oil & gas limited

Current asset value of 8.7c representing 40% gain but Niobara...

  1. 587 Posts.
    Current asset value of 8.7c representing 40% gain but Niobara has significantly higher upside.

    Six month target of 14c

    Current low price a result of the 1.2c capital raising dilution and profit taking.

    Highlights:
    - Cashed up in the middle of Niobrara Shale
    - Recently sold part of Goshen for $74M, retained 15k acres
    - Value underpinned by reserves and moderate production from NS
    - Samson retained acreage around a strong resistivity anomaly
    - 3D survey commenced, looking to increase acerage
    - Transformational deal with Chesapeake - market to fully value deal
    - Early Niobrara results of 1,000 boe/d similar to Eagle Ford 12 months ago
    - North Stockyard underpins current EV
    - Additional Bakken upside from downspacing for additional 4 wells

    Not sure for O&G plays but Hartley's have SSN with a 2012e EBIT of $77.6M and 2013e of $195M. So work out the share price from those - I'd say pretty close to Terry's valuations of 96c per share.

    Quote - "If Samson can get the first two wells producing then the upside valuation is 35cps" - this is the bit I like.

    Always DYOR.

 
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