CVN 2.50% 20.5¢ carnarvon energy limited

hartleys report, page-2

  1. 744 Posts.
    Cool, thanks Ktrianta.

    Investment Highlights
    • NSE-C1 Success Bodes Well for Reserves (CVN 40%) – Carnarvon
    Petroleum Limited (“Carnarvon”, “CVN”, “Company”) has reported a
    successful test of its NSE-C1 appraisal well, located at its Na Sanun
    East field in onshore Thailand. The well is flowing at 575 barrels of oil
    per day with water cut of 7%. The water cut is expected to decrease as
    the well cleans up and drilling fluids lost while drilling are recovered.
    This well is particularly significant for reserves as it is located in an area
    that was defined as possible reserves by the independent auditor,
    Gaffney Cline and Associates. We expect that some of the significant
    3P reserves will be converted to 2P when the end of year assessment
    is done. This also bodes well for the surrounding area, which is
    delineated by seismic as being under structural closure but where no
    drilling has occurred and no reserves are assigned.
    This confirms our understanding of the reservoir and of the substantial
    in place resources at Na Sanun East. Our valuation has not changed
    as some of these volumes are already factored in; however, the
    downside risks have decreased substantially.
    • NSE-D3 Tests at 1,130 Barrels of Oil per Day (CVN 40%) – This
    result is the ninth success from nine attempts for Carnarvon in its
    development program, which started in June this year. The well is still
    cleaning up and flow rates may increase during this process.
    The nearby NSE-D2 well was drilled close to the interpreted gas/oil
    contact and is subsequently being sidetracked deeper into the oil leg.
    Results from this well are expected before the end of the year.
    • NSE-E1 Exploration Well Drilling Ahead (CVN 40%) – The NSE-E1
    well is being drilled to the west of the development wells at Na Sanun
    East and has the potential to add to the Company’s reserve position, if
    successful. Carnarvon’s historical success from exploration in the area
    is 33% and we consider this to be a reasonable expectation for success
    in this well.
    • 2009 Set to be a Big Year – 2008 has been an extremely successful
    year for Carnarvon, with current production levels very close to the
    stated target of 6,000 barrels of oil per day net. The Company has
    focussed primarily on development in 2008; however, 2009 will see a
    shift back to exploration and appraisal from which we expect significant
    discoveries to be made. The Company has only scratched the surface
    of the potential of its onshore blocks in Thailand and remains a first
    mover in exploiting the new play type in fractured volcanics.
    Carnarvon’s success is now being recognised by a wider forum and it
    would not surprise if significant share price appreciation occurred in the
    short term. CVN is well placed to weather fluctuations in the oil price as
    its operations are very low cost with drilling costs of US$1.5m per well
    and opex of US$5 per barrel. The Company has approximately A$50m
    in cash, increasing production and reserves as well as 150cps of
    medium risk appraisal upside.
 
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20.5¢
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Mkt cap ! $366.6M
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20.0¢ 20.5¢ 20.0¢ $724.4K 3.558M

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