The scary thing is that the lower bollinger band on the weekly...

The scary thing is that the lower bollinger band on the weekly is something like 4.5c, which is where AVZ is headed if it doesn't get 50% offtake by the end of Feb (and hasn't done a raise to pay for the 15%) in my opinion. So your 60% drop is not far off.

And yes I'd much rather miss out on a gain and get it wrong (looking less likely by the day) and make the gain elsewhere than trust statements on timelines by management that seem to change every second month.

AVZ followers seem to think AVZ is the only show in town. Never mind that eg. GLN has gone from 13c to 36c over the past 2 weeks.