Only a fool would believe that it would be possible to contain...

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Chuck

13,013 Posts.

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13/10/14

14:47

Post #: 14116659
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Originally posted by pintohoo ↑

hanrahan,

I completely disagree. We are not setup for something like this. If we get a few numbers ----------------- maybe.

But more???? I don't know where the tipping point would be - but, it wouldn't be that high imo. If we got several cases geographically distant from one another - our resources would be insanely stretched rapidly.

I noticed you spoke before about Swine flu. Well, I noticed swine flu - and from what I saw we were quite concerned about it - and, as you say, hand sanitizer appeared in surgeries and at the same time I noticed warning signs as well.

But, - the result ------------------------ thousands of cases. A couple of surgeries in Melbourne I know - every flu case recorded was Swine flu - and they were pouring in the door. Rapidly it was in Nth. Tasmania - within very few weeks.

Now, this thing is harder to spread in some ways but easier in others. Swine flu has aerosols - but, ebola has infectious bodies - and, also the virus lives outside the body for days - on surfaces.

Yes, our hygiene may be better - and our culture may be different -------------- but, we move in greater numbers at greater speeds and group together in greater numbers - that INCREASES the chances, not decreases them.

We haven't seen what this can do in a developed city yet ------------ we have a couple of cases in controlled environments where it has got loose already ----------- that is bad enough ---------- how will it go in populations we aren't monitoring?

The thought of that is frightening.

It would only take one highly infectious case in a densely populated space to give us walking disasters - imagine a highly infectious person who worked in a city highrise?????

There are no controls - none. And if dozens of people became infected and then were out in the community and they became infectious and infected others --------- our resources would be stretched way way way beyond their limits.

I think we are underdoing this very much - our reliance on our modern hygine is too much of a fool's paradise.

The reality is people don't wash their hands - and, even if they do, they still touch doorknobs - and, with this thing - it only takes one touch.

One drop holds enough virus to theoretically infect 100k to 200k people - that's a hell of a dangerous drop of fluid.

I hope like hell I am wrong about this.

Pinto

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Only a fool would believe that it would be possible to contain Ebola in a locked up country. Borders leak.....
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