DOW 0.43% $4.68 downer edi limited

has the bear market ended ?, page-6

  1. 165 Posts.
    Sorry this took so long.

    noip

    Mutual Fund Cash to Assets Ratio (Ned Davis Research)

    1991 11.40%
    March 2000 around 4.10% (approx. can't remember exact figure)
    2003 latest 4.35%

    Percentage of Bullish Investors (from Investors Intelligence data)

    1991 22%
    Last Week 51.10%
    Begining of March 39%
    2nd week of January 51.10%

    Total Economic Debt of US (from Individual thru Corporate to Government)
    30 Trillion at least (Safehaven.com months ago)

    Total Cash Deposits at all levels
    2.2 Trillion (Only an Estimate range depends on sources)

    Total Equity Out Refinancing in 2002

    $785 billion (more than the stimulus package)

    Bankruptcies
    36,995 bankruptcy filings last week, up 22% y-o-y to a 52-week high (Credit Bubble bulletin on Prudent Bear)

    The QUESTION's: will the cash on the sidelines go into paying off debt as the economy deteriorates or will it go to shares? Will people in US sell shares to service debt? As debt quality falls, will bond prices fall reducing the amount available in Cash Equivalents?

    Regards,
    noip


 
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