XJO 0.93% 7,765.9 s&p/asx 200

my work... loli merely observe what i have understoodfrom the...

  1. 1,374 Posts.
    my work... lol

    i merely observe what i have understood
    from the great man J M Hurst...

    in all honestly volt looking for a certain
    amount of lows in a cyclical period is not
    high on my priorities as i have discussed
    in the past how cycles are dynamic and can vary in
    time and magnitude...

    yes lows are important and need to correctly
    identified but only on time frames like
    18m, 3 yrs, 4.5 yrs , 7,9 to 10 yrs etc...

    generally yeah u could divide a cycle up into
    3 parts and say two parts are impulsive and the
    last part corrective but it all can vary from time
    to time...




    below chart is what i found on the internet
    and I have highlighted 'hurst like cycles' which
    are dynamic and clearly differ from more rigid
    longer term analysis...

    generally major lows tend to all align but u can
    see if ur cycle analysis is not 'dynamic' then cycles
    seem confusing and out of sync....

    i guess the K wave theory is still sort of highly
    subjective (along with multi decade forcasting)
    hence why no real long term deflationary periods
    have occurred yet as suggested to bottom in 2014....

 
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