WBC 0.58% $27.52 westpac banking corporation

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  1. 587 Posts.
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    I'm not sure I've read any main stream media in 3-4 years .

    it's pretty simple formula , poor credit risk management due to under estimating household expenses , over issuance of interest only loans , flawed reliance on dynamic LVRs causing risk creep across the loan book .

    this causes a re risk of the last 5 years loan book pushing 50+% of the book into non prime / sub prime

    resets become problematic because LVR are impacted by falling values and household expense resets

    valuation falls accelerated by loss of foreign buyer demand which represent 20-25% demand over the last 5 years

    massive Inventories comIng onlo the market to satIsfy vanIshed demand (see above)

    creatIng a self feedIng credIt contractIon

    creatIng a fall In da approvals , housIng starts

    whIch feeds Into unemployment

    whIch feeds Into delinquency

    whIch created a negatIve feedback loop go back to the start above

    all before chIna begIns to slash commodIty usage

    Lets come back here In 12 months shall we ?
 
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