As a result of Australia beating England in their last Pool A match, the reigning champions will finish first with 24 points and India will qualify for the Super Six in second place with 20 points. The only doubt remaining is whether England, Zimbabwe, or even Pakistan will take the third place from the group.
If Zimbabwe beat Pakistan in Bulawayo, they will take the last spot in the Super Six with 16 points and they will still go through even if they only take two points from the match.
However, should Pakistan win, England, Pakistan and Zimbabwe will all be level on 12 points and the outcome will be decided on run rate as, in that instance, all will have the same number of points, same number of wins and each will have one win in matches played between themselves.
As Zimbabwe will have to lose the game to be level on points with England and Pakistan, they will be unable to improve their net run rate to move above England, although Pakistan still could.
For Pakistan to achieve a better run rate than England's, the International Cricket Council have come up with the following possibilities:
If Zimbabwe bat first and score 100, Pakistan will need to get the runs in 10.5 overs. If they score 150, Pakistan will need to get the runs in 12.1 overs. A score of 200 allows Pakistan 13.2 overs, while 250 allows 14.2 overs.
If Pakistan bat first and score 200 they will need to dismiss Zimbabwe for 13 or less. If they score 250 they will need to dismiss Zimbabwe for 62 or less while 300 sets a target of 112 or less. Should Pakistan reach the dizzy heights of 350, the target goes up to 161.
The situation in Pool B is rather more complicated. There are three matches to be played, with Kenya already assured of a place in the Super Six stage. The only doubt for Kenya is which of the three qualifying places they will take. The ICC have come up with the following intriguing possibilities:
If Canada beat New Zealand, South Africa beat Sri Lanka and Kenya beat West Indies, the top three places would be Kenya with 20 points, South Africa with 16 and Sri Lanka 16.
The same scenario but with West Indies beating Kenya produces a final order of South Africa, Kenya, Sri Lanka, with all on 16 points.
Should Canada beat New Zealand, Kenya beat West Indies but Sri Lanka beat South Africa, Kenya will top Sri Lanka, both having 20 points and New Zealand will go through with 12 points, having beaten South Africa in their group match.
If Canada, Sri Lanka and West Indies all win their last match, Sri Lanka will finish with 20 points, Kenya 16 and West Indies 14.
Wins for New Zealand. South Africa and Kenya will mean Kenya top the group and two of South Africa, Sri Lanka and New Zealand will go through on run rate.
Results with wins for New Zealand, South Africa and West Indies would mean either South Africa or Kenya topping the group and either Sri Lanka or New Zealand finishing third, with run rates deciding each possibility.
The other two scenarios (wins for New Zealand and Sri Lanka and either Kenya or West Indies) would result in Kenya, Sri Lanka and New Zealand getting through with New Zealand in third place whatever the result of Kenya v West Indies.
If it rains or if there is a tie, there will be another rush to the calculators.
