What to do,that is the question.
First of all Im adamant that you have got to do all the following,which involves expunging some nice memories that you wont want to let go. Figures like 3000 bopd and 5000 bopd,figures that bring a smile to your face but,IMO, are figures that always were junk- sounding too good to be true and that is how they have turned out.
If you can do that you are,IMO, on the start of the road to recovery. Join the real world ,folks. But dont be too hard on Ted and Jeff, they are only human.
Then you absolutely must get a grip on the sandstones and you might like to consider taking some of my views aboard if you can see instances where Ted and Jeff have said the same thing-they know what they are talking about but I lived CVN when it was the old CVN and they told the shareholders what they were trying to achieve and we were able to watch the sandstone story as it unfolded. For a start get your head around the fact that the F and G layers at WB were well deliniated by Shell and are really easy to find.And that these 2 layers are at shallow depths (550 and 650 metres- a decent rig can get down to 200-300 meteres at WB in 48 hours from spudding). AND that the topography at WB is like gentle rolling dairy land AND that repetative sandstone drilling at close well spacings is quite cheap drilling AND that you dont necessarily need 4-well concrete pads AND that a rig can probably still be skidded across the paddocks AND that sandstone wells in central Thailand usually have a life of 20 years AND that they are regarded as low maintenance wells AND that the decline rates are likely to be low AND that the wells are easily mapped on 3 D seismic AND that such wells dont have anything like the tendency to water out that volcanic ones seem to have (I dont have any empirical evidence here but all the wells I followed at WB watered out within 7 days or not at all) . And if you still have a view that sandstone wells are a bit uninteresting and unlikely to produce acceptable results think about this- the people who ran the old CVN had the champagne uncorked when they struck 300 bopd because they new about the long life,etc. etc
AND spare a thought for the results of WBext1. I have carried forward the figures of 30m thick for the F layer and 20m for the G layer. WBext 1 showed elevated mud gas readings over 50 metres and 30 metres,not 30 and 20. That suggests 800 from the 2 layers.
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