SMM 0.00% 0.3¢ somerset minerals limited

hi cost producers gain more from increase pric, page-6

  1. 184 Posts.
    "The copper companies which will do best out of price increases will be the low cost producers."

    While essentially your calculations are correct (albeit with your slightly fat Cu price ;-)) I still agree with the above statement.

    While the % profit margin increases more for company X than Company Y company Y still maintains the higher margin. The factor of profit increase is far less dramatic when there is a small increase in Cu price. The profit decrease when there is a negative movement in Cu price is even more dramatic...

    Say Cu heads to $2.50... (3-2.5)/3 = 16.7% decrease

    X margin = 2.5-2 = $0.5
    diff in old and new margin = (1-.5)/1 = 50% decrease

    Y margin = 2.5-1 = $1.5
    diff in old and new margin = (2.5-1)/2 = 25% decrease

    So with just a 16.7% decrease in Cu leads to a significantly higher (50%!) decrease in profit. So company X's SP halves and company Y reduces 25%.
 
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