AJX 0.00% 0.8¢ alexium international group limited

If that was the case, then 13 million shares would have been...

  1. dej
    409 Posts.
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    If that was the case, then 13 million shares would have been sold since the placement.

    Looking back on previous volume, after the CR they would have immediately sold the portion they wanted to sell e.g. 8 million shares. No way they would have snap decided 2 weeks or 3 weeks after the placement that they no longer wanted the shares. The people who were involved in the placement would have pre-calculated it was better for their risk tolerance to sell the shares immediately and keep the warrants for the upside benefit. Its an easy way to take a paper loss at the end of a financial year to off-set both tax and also off-set some potential income for the coming year. To be frank, if I was in their shoes I would be doing the same thing.

    The first week after the placement we saw approximate volume of around 10M shares, when normally we would be looking at around 4M, and this also was around the time when the algo trading started kicking in. This was also the start of the major decline. They have been using a algo trading to slowly sell of shares over time for the best price possible. I would say they would have sold out the portion they wanted to sell approximately mid-second week after the placement, say around the 12th - 13th.

    Lets say they sold half.

    What is happening now is more retail investors being spooked and traders hoping on the band wagon. Traders are awesome, I love them. I have traded myself many a times, oh how AZK was a good way to double my yearly income in a week. Regardless, retailers sell are being spooked by the lowering price off the back of fundamentally good announcements (that the CR placement receiver made occur as they will ignore and sell given that was their objective) thinking that their is something they don't know and cause panic. And what do traders love more than panic? NOTHING. When people trade under normal circumstance they trade rationally to their own circumstance, which to the observer seems irrational. When panic sets in, it is when a lot of these trading charts are formed. We all act like cattle, plain and simple. Traders can see this irrational (but predictable to the observer) behaviour and pounce. We now are in the trading sphere.

    I would also hazard to guess that now that the traders are involved, and we have seen further decline in the share price as all the spooked retailers are crying, that the CR placement receiver is probably selling the remainder of their shares. That could be millions of shares.

    Those are just my thoughts. I usually don't talk much about who I am and what I do, but I have a background in quantitative finance and financial coding. To me, this is a combination of a few things, but essentially panic that traders love, and are profiting from.
    Last edited by dej: Spelling 27/05/15
 
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