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03/01/25
11:48
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Originally posted by Infose:
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"The next 2 years will be a decider . If Australia opens up it's mining again and doesn't let green agendas hold it back then that could be the one thing that if we do head into a recession of this kind will be a saviour. but the way we are heading now ..." I must confess that I don't understand how a dig, dig agenda in the context presented here could be the saviour. A recession is caused by a fall in aggregate demand and a green agenda would just impact upon supply. A green agenda could have long term implications but not short-term ones. A recession is a short-term variation in economic activity. the capacity to produce is there but it is not being fully utilized. A green agenda may be against the opening of new mines or new oil wells with implications for the medium to long term.
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Agreed, the cost of capital to build a new mine with soft commodity prices (apart from gold) is what has reduced mining output. Downside risk from here with tariffs on China as well imo.