VAN 0.00% 4.7¢ vango mining limited

how cheap is ord.

  1. 5,302 Posts.
    lets forget the LAOS project which in itself is a company making project after the PFS is completed and resource increased.

    lets forget the recent JV which will see ORD pocket 3 million and Gram stump up 10 million for drilling copper Flats next year.

    Today Japan's Itochu Corp stumped up $345 million for a %15 stake in the Maules Creek coal project from Ashton Resources .

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/city-beat/aston-confirms-345m-japanese-deal-for-coal-project/story-fn4xq4cj-1225967491277

    It contains JORC Coal Reserves of 356 Mt with a mix of semi soft coking and thermal coal.

    Ashton is aiming at 10.5 million tonnes from 2015.

    now lets get this right if I may.

    CCD is currently producing about 800t of coking and thermal coal.

    CCD will be producing 5mpta by 2013-2014

    CCD have a jorc resource from two deposits that is on par and even better than Ashton Resources.

    CCD is 70% semi soft coking and 30% thermal

    Itocho are paying $345 million for 15%, Ord is paying $40 million for 10%

    although Ashton will be producing double the amount of coal than CCD.

    If my numbers are correct.

    Itochu Corp paid $346 million for 15%

    Lets take away the 5% which leaves us with a purchase price of $328 million

    So now Itochu Corp and ORD have 10% equity in their respective projects.

    Since Ashton will produce double the amount of coal than CCD, we will divide the $328 million divide by two = $164 million

    So now Itochu Corp and ORD have a 10% stake in a project that will produce the same amount of coal 5 mtpa.

    Give CCD a few extra credits($$$$) since they are already producing circa 800 tpa.

    If my eyes are not deceiving me ORD are paying $40 million for an asset that today was valued at $164 million in a similar transaction.

    It doesn't matter which way you look at it, Laos, Copper Flats JV, and Coal deal.

    ORD is damn damn cheap....

    regards
 
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