GOLD 0.51% $1,391.7 gold futures

how not to value a gold company in my opinion

  1. 2,739 Posts.
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    (I already posted this in the long thread - just wanted to start a new thread)

    it can't only be about production.

    There's some "emerging" producers that are producing 100,000 oz/annum or 200,000 oz/annum plus and making big multi-million dollar losses.

    They are giving their resources away - I can't value companies like that.

    In fact can it get any worse than that ?

    Are these emerging or submerging producers ?

    Some also have their resource spread over 5 widespread deposits .. in various countries and in remote areas.

    One or 2 of these 5 mines may make productive mines .. 3 or more might not.

    so there goes 3/5ths of the resource... so a company with a 5 mill resource maybe we should consider that only the 2 mill oz resource as being potentially productive.

    Anyway assuming that all 5 deposits will prove productive..
    If you consider you'll need to spend $250 mill plus for cap-ex for each of these 5 deposits .. (CIL plants and circuits aren't cheap) .. plus another $50 mill each on accommodation and to develop each mine .. there's a total of $1.5 bill of cap-ex bill looming to gobble up future hoped for profits.

    just my thoughts anyway.
 
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