“40 plus years of exaggerated computer models that haven’t come within cooee of hitting their mark ”
I don’t know where you’re getting your information from- you’re basically just dead wrong
“Climate change models have generally been accurate in predicting future global warming trends:
- Multiple studies have found that climate models developed between 1970-2007 have accurately projected subsequent global temperature changes. 10-14 out of 17 models evaluated were found to closely match observed temperature changes after accounting for differences in actual vs. projected greenhouse gas emissions[1][4].
- While climate models have uncertainties and limitations, they have successfully reproduced temperature trends globally, by land, in the air, and in the oceans since 1900[1]. The models have also accurately projected phenomena like sea level rise[1].
- Some early climate models may have overpredicted the rate of warming, but this was likely due to uncertainties in future emissions scenarios rather than flaws in the models themselves[2][3]. Newer, more advanced climate models have continued to improve in accuracy as our scientific understanding has advanced[4].
- The fact that different climate models produce a range of results does not mean they are inaccurate. This variability reflects the inherent complexity of the climate system and the different assumptions and approaches used by modeling teams[5]. The models are continuously tested, validated, and improved over time.
In summary, the preponderance of evidence indicates that climate models, while not perfect, have been reasonably accurate in projecting future global warming trends when accounting for differences in actual vs. projected climate forcings[1][4]. The models form a reliable guide for understanding potential future climate change.
Sources
[1] How reliable are climate models? - Skeptical Science https://skepticalscience.com/climate-models.htm
[2] What Are Climate Models and How Accurate Are They? https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2018/05/18/climate-models-accuracy/
[3] Flawed Climate Models - Hoover Institution https://www.hoover.org/research/flawed-climate-models
[4] Study Confirms Climate Models are Getting Future Warming Projections ... https://science.nasa.gov/earth/clim...are-getting-future-warming-projections-right/
[5] Are climate models reliable? - Bon Pote https://bonpote.com/en/are-climate-models-reliable/
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