The following is based on my amateur research skills. DYOR to check the facts yourself and before making any financial decisions.
Scratching my head trying to chose between the two:
Market Cap
--------------
GER
67 M shares
78M Options
145M shares fully diluted
Market Cap=$36M (assuming fully diluted at 24.5c per share)
HRL
93M shares
10M options
103M shares Fully diluted
Market Cap=$14M (assuming fully diluted at $13c per share)
STAGE 1- Proof of concept
---------------------------
GER
Estimated Cost $29.8M
Cash in bank $5M
GDP Grant $7M
Stage 1 ETIS funding $5M
Funding shortfall = $12.8M
HRL
Estimated Cost $18M
Cash in bank $3M
GDP Grant $7M
Funding Shortfall = $8M
STAGE 2 - Demonstration plant
-------------------------------
GER
Estimated Cost for 12MWe plant = $74.2M
ETIS Stage 2 funding = $20M
Funding shortfall = $54.2M
HRL
Estimated cost for 10MWe plant = upto $70M
Government funding = Nil
Dunding Shortfall = 70M
Stage 3 - Expansion
-------------------------------
GER
17000 PJ inferred resource (for HSA. The rest is Hot Dry Rocks)
HRL
67000 PJ inferred/indicated resource for HSA
My conclusions
- GER got the lions share of government funding but still needs more money (than HRL) for proof of concept
- HRL share price will likely spike when the market opens but a small holding will get your foot in for a discounted SPP on attractive terms
- At current prices HRL seems the better play
- GER has the advantage in Stage 2 due to the ETIS funding but long term the HSA resource seems small compared to HRL
Sentiment: hold for SPP
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