"A preliminary uranium resource has been delineated at the Mt Fitch prospect. The indicated and inferred resource is 8.9Mt @ 1.01lb/tonne for 8.9Mlbs or 18.3Mt @ 0.79lb/ tonne for 14.5Mlbs at a lower cut-off grade. Drilling in August will chase the mineralisation to the north, west and at depth. A high grade intercept of 19m @ 4.6lb/tonne occurs along the northern edge of the resource. Mt Fitch is only one of several promising prospects and has not been closed off. A preliminary development study and cost estimate for Mt Fitch uranium has begun. Processing rates up to 2Mtpa feed will be investigated with a full feasibility study likely to follow. A new uranium prospect has also been identified at Area 55 West. Previous results include 3.7m @ 2.58lb/tonne U3O8. Area 55 West validates the concept of a central uranium processing plant serving multiple orebodies in the region. That said, CMR’s primary target at Rum Jungle is a Ranger type deposit of 50 to 100Mlbs U3O8. Our CMR valuation increases 10% to $5.75ps and conservatively only credits 50% of our calculated value for the sulphide project. Applying 100% for the sulphide project increases our valuation to $8.60ps. Long term assumptions are US$1.75/lb copper, US$15/lb cobalt, US$5.00/lb nickel, US$0.41/lb lead, A$/US$ exchange rate of 0.76 and a 10% discount rate. We include $0.27ps for exploration excluding uranium and $0.10ps for the Wyoming royalty and Territory Iron agreement. We now apply a separate $0.40ps value for the uranium assets equivalent to $5.00/lb of resource at the higher cut-off, in line with the market average. This value could increase rapidly given high uranium prospectivity. CMR has drilled only two prospects and has ore grade intercepts on many more. The uranium prospects represent very considerable blue sky. Assays from NSW drilling and additional uranium and copper results from the NT are expected within a couple of weeks. Any continuation of the high quality Browns East results would continue to enhance sulphide project value. Our FY07 earnings forecast declines 27% to 22.5cps on the slip in first oxide production. We retain the Buy recommendation. CMR has over $80m in cash excluding past expenditure repayments and no debt.
CMR Price at posting:
0.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held