I cried Wolf on Dangers of Climate Change, page-75

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    As Co2 levels have increased the global area burnt has declined.

    Firstly, the peer-reviewed science is clear - as Co2 levels haveincreased over past decades, the global area burnt has declined.

    * NASA has concluded that ‘’globally, the total acreage burnedby fires each year declined by 24% between 1998 and 2015 - and over that sameperiod of time Co2 levels increased from 366ppm (0.037%) to 395 ppm (0.039%)

    https://www.nasa.gov/…/20…/nasa-detects-drop-in-global-fires

    *In July 2017, a study by Nick Earl and Ian Simmonds appeared inthe Journal of Geophysical Research. The authors analyzed the Australianbushfire statistics from 2001-2015 and found a reduction in fires, noting;

    ‘’It is found that Australian fire activity is decreasing(during summer (December–February)) or stable, with HIGH high temporal andspatial VARIABILITY. Eastern New South Wales (NSW) has the strongest decreasingtrend (to the 1% confidence level), especially during the winter (JJA) season.Other significantly decreasing areas are Victoria/NSW, Tasmania, and South-eastQueensland.’’

    https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/…/10.1…/2016JD026312

    * On a global scale, fire emissions/burned area peaked in the1910s, but then plummeted to “about 5% below year 1700 levels by 2010” (Ward etal., 2018).

    https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/…/10.1…/2017GB005787

    * The decreasing trend in wildfires has continued unabated inthe 21st century, as there has been “a strong statistically significant declinein 2001–2016 active fires globally” (Earl and Simmonds, 2018).

    https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/…/10.1…/2017JD027749

    * To summarize, there are “widely held perceptions both in themedia and scientific papers of increasing fire occurrence, severity andresulting losses“, and yet “the quantitative evidence available does notsupport these perceived overall trends” (Doerr and Santín, 2016).

    * On a long-term scale, “global biomass burning during the pastcentury has been lower than at any time in the past 2000 years” (Doerr andSantín, 2016).

    https://royalsocietypublishing.org/…/full/10…/rstb.2015.0345

    Yet even if wildfires wereincreasing (which peer-reviewed science shows they are not) and even if thiswas directly related to increasing to Co2 levels (noting that in the real worldit’s the exact opposite) given that Australia emits around 1.3% of the globalman made total, and the emissions from our electricity generation sector are33% of that 1.3% - the belief that we can reduce fire risk by buying more solarpanels and wind turbines from China is a denial of the evidence and the science.


 
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