Thanks for your reply, @Michaelirish. There certainly is some truth in what you're saying.
The main problem I have with your reasoning, though, is that I personally cannot see how global interest rates can go meaningfully up without a commensurate increase in inflation; there simply is too much debt around, in order for the financial system to be able to absorb a sustained higher real cost of debt.
But, once it is accepted that nominal rates can only go up with inflation at this stage (or even lagging behind it, i.e. with real rates going lower), then you have that:
1) TCL's revenues will also increase with inflation, neutralising the impact of higher nominal rates, and
2) Being temporarily allocated in cash in an environment of accelerating inflation will be a risky strategy in itself.
So, I am not saying that the scenario you described (nominal rates shooting up and TCL SP going down) cannot happen; it definitely can but, given all the above, it would look to me like an eminent buying opportunity, as long as business execution remains spotless.
Admittedly, though, I would have very much liked to be in your shoes; That's to say, I wish I had found this company a lot earlier and had more of these "rich man's dilemmas" as of today.
Cheers and good luck.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- TCL
- I have exited TCL
TCL
transurban group
Add to My Watchlist
1.25%
!
$13.38

I have exited TCL, page-5
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.
|
|||||
Last
$13.38 |
Change
-0.170(1.25%) |
Mkt cap ! $41.59B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$13.41 | $13.48 | $13.27 | $97.50M | 7.294M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 129 | $13.36 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$13.39 | 2300 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 3750 | 13.340 |
2 | 3100 | 13.330 |
1 | 5000 | 13.310 |
4 | 7865 | 13.300 |
2 | 6000 | 13.290 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
13.400 | 2100 | 2 |
13.520 | 5222 | 1 |
13.550 | 711 | 2 |
13.570 | 520 | 1 |
13.600 | 12269 | 3 |
Last trade - 16.11pm 11/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
TCL (ASX) Chart |
The Watchlist
VMM
VIRIDIS MINING AND MINERALS LIMITED
Rafael Moreno, CEO
Rafael Moreno
CEO
SPONSORED BY The Market Online