I like curves, but...

  1. 381 Posts.
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    Right now, we're not flattening THE curve, we're flattening A curve!
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    The curve we have right now mostly reflects returning overseas travellers and their contacts. There was a spike and then reduction in these numbers. There's your curve.
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    The unknown curve, which I would suggest is the real curve, is community transmission.
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    The testing regime has excluded testing for community transmission. That is, if you have the symptoms but no overseas connection or contact with a confirmed case, you will NOT be tested.
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    I expect when this changes, the 'curve' will change, as it becomes closer to the real curve.
    Flatten THAT!
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    The ongoing message, particularly in SA, has been that there's no evidence of community transmission.
    Of course there isn't! You haven't been gathering it, ffs.
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    Social distancing and lockdowns aren't happening because there's no community transmission.
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    Let's wait for THE curve to emerge, then make our projections - optimistic or otherwise.
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    Last edited by DmitriMA: 04/04/20
 
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