i think vcr will continue to move down today, page-8

What on earth are you talking about??

The intermediate downtrend clearly ended in June, with the new uptrendline still intact at around 1.57. The price is also holding above the 45-day MA at around 1.60, which has also established itself as a key support level.

While this thing holds above 1.60 the uptrend must be considered as still in force.