CF1 5.00% 1.9¢ complii fintech solutions ltd

IAM journey ahead, page-14

  1. 6,165 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2345
    Looks like @baxtermail is on weekend vacation.

    Thanks @SeeThru for the screenshot.
    The note below is for you. Keep it somewhere safe =)

    -------------------------------

    Summary:

    Iam is under-priced (aka cheap)

    Even at 5c ,
    there is margin of safety, with est. SP of 11c

    Expect more buying next week.
    (Those who sold out will have to pay higher next week, if they want back in)


    -------------------------
    IAM is under-priced.
    Why?

    Net Profits After Tax, Npat

    Its Not Easy to deliver.

    Kogan , high costs=low margins 2
    vs
    IAM , low costs (Rupee,Peso) = high margins (A$)
    ---------

    Kogan
    High Costs, Low Margins, Online retail shop.
    Profits growth 33%, over last 3 years.
    Cash ~$30m
    PE = 62
    MC
    = 62x $2.5m
    = $155M

    EV
    =$155m - 30m
    = $125

    vs

    IAM
    1353m sh+op , $5m cash


    @3.2c, MC=43m, EV=38m

    My calc says
    MC = $155m,
    EV = 150m

    Sp =11c

    ------
    How?

    M1 $1 will be achieved soon.
    It's irrelevant for calc here.

    Looking 9 to 12 months ahead:

    Expect it to achieve >$2.5m Npat, in 12 months
    (Probably $3m to $5m, to align with M2)

    Lets use PE=62, same as Kogan
    (instead of PE 80 to 100 - Aconex, freelancer, Class1
    - EPS YoY growth is > 80% to 100%)

    MC
    =62x $2.5m
    =155m

    EV
    = $155m - $5m cash
    =$150m


    Sp= 11c

    Sp estimate will be 15c to 20c,
    if we use $3m Npat, or PE 80 to 100.
    (Lets be conservative =)


    -------
    Aimo
    Dyor
    Check all facts & figures.
    Seek investment advice before investing.



    ---

    Newcomers, fyi ,for you to dyor:

    CEO/Founder MFisher Must Deliver four targets M1-M4,
    before 30 June 2016,
    to gain his 4x 250m performance shares.

    Page10

    M1 to M4

    $1m,$4m,$11m, $40m, (aggregate)

    Column 1 Column 2
    1 21/01/2016 STAR STRIKER TO ACQUIRE LEADING FINTECH PROVIDER INTIGER
    http://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20160121/pdf/434hlkl1k7swcq.pdf

    Who is new Iam chairman, Mark Rantall https://industrymoves.com/moves/intiger-appoints-former-fpa-chief-as-chair

    http://www.ifa.com.au/news/15619-mining-company-acquires-fintech-provider

    CEO interview:
    http://www.professionalplanner.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/1607-Interview.pdf

    Websites
    http://www.intigerassetmanagement.com/#fintech_section

    http://paypersoa.com.au/

    Asx ann
    http://www.asx.com.au/asx/research/company.do#!/IAM

    Prospectus
    http://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20160616/pdf/437yb3sfkf1t92.pdf
    Last edited by Glyco: 04/09/16
 
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