CRN coronado global resources inc.

If CRN hedged...

  1. 973 Posts.
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    CRN current market cap = 1.676b shares * $1.22 = $2.045b
    Add debt (30 Jun 21) of $236m
    Enterprise value = $2.28b

    1) Costs ~US90/t (all up): was $88.75 in H1 and will go up slightly due to increasing royalty payments which are price based

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3561/3561777-2cd6b444d08966a7847890fca7d9a3b3.jpg
    2) Revenue: Realised 75% of Platts PLV HCC Aus in H1

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3561/3561782-7a6e1fad52d4354aa8dc9154af1e6ec7.jpg
    3) Production: ~18Mt/yr (as per above "Sales volume") or 1.5Mt/mo


    What if CRN hedged at the current SGX coking coal curve for the next 12 months?

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3561/3561787-66e02bcd4b5c0b1bf495f3badb6b47d8.jpg


    In September, it could earn ((300 * 75%) - 90 ) * 1.5 = USD 202.5m
    Now calculate the next 11 months:

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3561/3561795-70719da0c2223d009e1408bda5fe0aa8.jpg

    Yes, the company could earn over $2.5b if it hedged the next 12 months, which is MORE than the current enterprise value of $2.28b.

    Note this is a theoretical example. Noone hedges 100% due to risks including failure of supply and effectiveness of SGX futures pricing vs actual pricing. However i can certainly see a place for at least 50% of production being hedged for the next 12months.


 
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Last
35.0¢
Change
-0.020(5.41%)
Mkt cap ! $586.7M
Open High Low Value Volume
35.5¢ 37.5¢ 34.8¢ $30.29M 86.23M

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No. Vol. Price($)
3 112000 35.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
36.0¢ 23416 1
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Last trade - 16.15pm 19/09/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
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