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11/04/16
11:50
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Originally posted by pintohoo
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"Consider what things would be like if the unemployment rate went to 15% . House building would stop . House renovating would stop . Local holidaying would stop etc etc . Things would be pretty quiet ."
yes and no.
Yes, there would be an immediate halt - and a huge deleveraging - probably.
However - decades back when not many women worked - we had a lot less people in the work force as a percentage than we do now ------------ and, people renovated, people took holidays - and, life went on.
So - it's not straight out the unemployment levels - it's the employment levels and the amount of money earned - in balance with the cost of living and the debt levels at any one time.
I would have thought that anyone mortgage free and low debt - would have little trouble if employment rose to 15%.
We not only survived this before - it was actually normal - by the way we count things now compared to then.
Pinto
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It does matter how little your debt is if you don't have a job. To take advantage of a serious crash and what would be a very long recession you would want to have an absolute stack of cash....something I seriously doubt ANY of the bears have.
Be careful what you wish for.